Epidemiology

New computer modelling suggests that ongoing vaccinations and early public health measures are the most effective responses to future COVID-19 variants

A new demographic index of Australian cities identifies vulnerable population areas and can drive better policy making to control COVID-19 outbreaks

There is good reason to be optimistic about the effectiveness of Victoria’s latest COVID-19 lockdown because we are doing the right things better

A new web tool, COVID-19 Pandemic Trade-offs, allows people to weigh the costs and benefits of different policy responses as Australia rolls out vaccines and considers opening borders

Every one of us is at risk of being both a potential COVID-19 patient and virus vector, with about 20 per cent being ‘super spreaders’. Electing to be vaccinated fulfils a very basic responsibility to ourselves, our family and the community

Given how depressing 2020 has been, Santa’s sleigh run needs to be classified as an essential service, so here is how Mr Claus (and his reindeer) can be a super spreader of goodwill and not COVID-19

Epidemiologist Professor Tony Blakely gives Victoria’s Roadmap out of the COVID-19 restrictions 8 out of 10 – noting there may be scope for easing some restrictions sooner

Dynamic policy models can help us think through how we get to ‘COVID-Normal’. Here the researchers behind the latest modelling explain what it does and doesn’t do

Large-scale testing is key to controlling COVID-19 and statistical modelling shows that analysing grouped samples can give a better and more efficient indication of the prevalence of disease

Delays to reporting test results and contact tracing from an overloaded system slows the containment of COVID-19. Victoria’s testing strategy needs to recognise this risk and allocate resources accordingly